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June 27, 2006

Bad Argument, Bad Kidneys

There are valid moral, ethical, policy and philosophical reasons why financial incentives should not be given to organ donors.

Charles B. Fruit, chairman of the National Kidney Foundation, mentions some them in a recent USA TODAY editorial.

Unfortunately, he damages his cause when he states "there is little data to show that financial incentives would increase donation rates."

Mr. Fruit should stick with the moral, ethical, policy and philosophical arguments. His economic argument is nonsense.

Every imaginable activity would increase upon the offering of additional financial incentives for that activity.

For Mr. Fruit to suggest to suggest organ donation is immune from this economic truth is, well, fruitless.

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June 26, 2006

More Inconvenient Truths for the Chicken Littles

We have accurate information on our earth's temperature dating back approximately 400 years.  (See, for example, the third paragraph from the bottom in this Associated Press story)

The earth is 4.55 billion years old, give or take a day or two. Therefore, we have 400 years of accurate temperature information out of 4,550,000,000 years.

In percentage terms, we have an accurate assessment of 00.0000087912% of the earth's historical temperature.

Very smart statisticians have a word for a number this small. The word is "insignificant."

What life decisions would you make if you had 00.0000087912% of the pertinent information available to you?  Would you buy a house if you could see only 00.0000087912% of it?

Yes, you can take a miniscule amount of information and extrapolate from it. For instance, you can look at what any give stock price does on a given day and assume it will continue to go in that direction for the foreseeable future. As I write this, Microsoft corporation has gone up thirty cents since this morning. It opened at $22.50 a share and is now trading at $22.80, an increase of 1.33%.

The stock market has been open exactly half the day. Therefore, the stock will be up another .30 by the close of business, correct? Wrong.

Extrapolation of insignificant data yields insignificant conclusions.

Yet this is exactly what global warming Chicken Littles do for a living.

The earth's temperature has alternately warmed and cooled for last 4.55 billion years.

Yes, the earth's temperature has risen in the past 400 years. It has also gone up a few degrees this morning. They have roughly the same significance.

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June 25, 2006

C'est La Vie

The Canadian press, especially the Quebecois, have made a big deal out of their native son Jose Theodore and his dalliance with talentless heiress Paris Hilton.

Just because the former Montreal Canadien and current Colorado Avalanche goalie Theodore has hooked up with Hilton is hardly newsworthy.

It is like reporting that a family of four recently vacationed in Orlando and enjoyed their ride on Space Mountain. I mean, c’mon, who hasn’t?

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June 20, 2006

Document Destruction

I’m thinking about putting my nine month old daughter to work. Here is my potential advertising pitch:

 

Do you have confidential documents that need to be destroyed? I will deliver my little girl to your location. You can place your documents in front of her, and in minutes they will be folded, spindled, mutilated, torn and soggy with baby spit.

Your confidential information will beyond recovery by the most sophisticated, cutting edge techniques. Call 1-800-BABY-CHEW (The Extra W is for Extra Wet.)

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Things Carolina Hurricane Fans Can Put in the Stanley Cup

BBQ Pork

Hushpuppies

Cole Slaw

Sweet Tea

Basketballs (College version only)

Motor Oil (from Lowe’s Motor Speedway)

Sand from the Outer Banks

Oysters from the 42nd Street Oyster Bar in Raleigh

Hotdogs from the Trolley Stop in Wrightsville Beach

Cigarettes

Natural Light (The Cheap Beer of Choice in Carolina)

Monetary donations for the Duke Lacrosse Legal Defense Fund

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June 19, 2006

Game Seven: Stanley Cup

No professional team in either Carolina has ever won a championship.

The Carolina Hurricanes have a shot tonight. In their own barn.

The folks in Carolina are used to college championships. The University of North Carolina and Duke have won multiple basketball titles. Even North Carolina State won one. (Once.)

But the pros? Nope.

Tonight is their chance.

My running commentary during the game follows –

The Canes play in the RBC Center. That stands for “Royal Bank of Canada.” Why does the Royal Bank of Canada sponsor a building on Tobacco Road?

And isn’t Canada free of the yoke of the British Monarchy? Why do they have a “royal” bank anyway?

Wouldn’t the “Phillip Morris Arena” be a better name? How ‘bout the “Marlboro Center?” Or the “Vantage Point?”

When the Hartford Whalers relocated to Raleigh, I thought they should rename the team the “Golden Leafs.” It would have been both a tribute to the hockey tradition of Toronto and to the major cash crop of the region. (For those that are not familiar, about half of the tobacco grown in the United States is of the “bright leaf” variety. It is also called “golden leaf,” both for its color and what it brings to those that make money selling it.)

As it is, they chose to name the team after a natural disaster that hits the Carolina coast frequently. Property owners along the Outer Banks were almost as happy as The Scorpions, who get their most famous song played at every home game.

* Speaking of the tobacco industry, if you drive anywhere in North Carolina, you will see a bumper sticker that reads “Tobacco Money Bought This Truck.”

Apparently, this means that the tobacco industry is a good thing because it provides a living to the guy in the truck.

I kept waiting to see a pimped out Escalade with a bumper sticker that said “Crack Money Bought this Caddy.”

* One of the local investors of the Canes, at least originally, was a rich corporate hog farmer. Hogs are another huge industry in Carolina. As a paean to him, the Canes’ mascot is a guy in a hog suit on skates.

They had a contest to name him. Again, I had a great name. He was a pig and he was a hockey mascot. I entered the suggestion “Puck Chop.” I did not win. I should have. They selected “Stormy” instead. Sounds more like a stripper than a mascot.

* I ain’t sayin’ nothin’, but that national anthem singer would not have made it far during “American Idol” auditions. She was cute, though.

* The Canes score 1:26 into the game. The Carolina fans are happier than a pig in slop smoking an unfiltered Camel.

* The Carolina logo looks a little like the inside of a flushing toilet. But the all-red uniforms are cool.

* Aren’t those animated Charles Schwab ads creepy? They remind me of the previews for “A Scanner Darkly.” At least the movie is supposed to be a little creepy. As creepy as stock brokers may be, I don’t think they intend to advertise that particular trait.

* With 4.7 seconds left in the first period, the Canes think they scored. The refs review it.

NBC shows Canes owner Peter Karmanos yelling at the refs like he thinks he’s Mark Cuban or something. Except he’s in a suit. And a luxury box. But he’s still yelling.

The refs decide there is no goal. Karmanos’ reaction is not shown, perhaps because they want to avoid FCC fines.

The first period ends 1-0, Carolina.      

* Carolina scores on a power play four minutes into the second period. There is no review. This one counts. Carolina is up 2-0. Canes fans are happier than a Durham D.A. at a Duke mixer.

* With 3:39 left in the period, the Canes will be down two men for almost two full minutes.

The Oilers give the two man advantage back with a penalty of their own less than a minute later. They still have a 4-3 advantage. With three men in the penalty box, the ice looks empty.

The Canes kill the penalties.

* The Oil scores quickly in the third to make it 2-1. The Cane fans are as unhappy as Matt Doherty on Old Timers’ Day in Chapel Hill.

* The Canes put it away for good with an empty netter with 1:01 to go in the game.

The party in Raleigh is underway.

* That was so exciting, my wife even watched the end of it. She really got into it, although she felt bad for the Oilers and their sad faces. She said, in consolation, “At least they can shave those beards now.”

She’s been watching too much World Cup. She asked if the Canes and Oilers were going to swap jerseys as they shook hands.

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Len Bias

He died 20 years ago today.

He was the best basketball player I ever saw in person.

I was a freshman at the University of North Carolina. It was the first year basketball games were played in the Dean E. Smith Student Activities Center, and the Heels had not yet lost a game in the building.

Bias and the Maryland Terrapins changed that. If I recall correctly, Bias scored 32 of the Terps' 70 points.

Maryland beat the Heels in overtime, but the Tar Heel faithful had witnessed one of the most remarkable performances ever by any basketball player.

One sequence is chiseled in my mind: Bias hit a three-point shot, ran to contest the in-bounds pass, stole the pass and dunked it.

The man had scored five points in two seconds. He had abilities most of us can not even dream of.

It was truly a sad day when he died, just months later.

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June 12, 2006

Running thoughts on the U.S. v Czech Republic World Cup Match

“We're Americans. With a capital "A", huh? And you know what that means? Do you? That means that our forefathers were kicked out of every decent country in the world. We are the wretched refuse. We're the underdog. We're mutts.”

--Bill Murray as John Winger in Stripes.

The announcers are Dave O’Brien on play-by-play and former Colorado Rapid Marcelo Balboa with commentary. Balboa wears his black hair half way down his back. It is very stylish …. If he was playing bass for the Allman Brothers in 1974.

 

O’Brien informs us that half of the Americans play professionally in Europe.  I bet all of the Czechs do.

 

The Czechs score five minutes into the game. The big Czech forward, Jan Koller, scored on a header off a beautiful crossing pass.

 

It’s out of hand. The Czechs score in the 35th minute from about 100 feet out. With a 2-0 lead, all the U.S. can do now is try and minimize the embarrassment. A 2-0 lead in a World Cup match against a good team is like being down 35-0 in a football game. Unless Frank Reich is at quarterback, a comeback is not likely.

 

They just showed an American chick in a Stars & Stripes bikini cheering in the stands. That’s my kind of patriotism.

 

Koller goes down and rolls around as if he’s being electrocuted. He is removed from the game on a stretcher. Soccer players would earn more my respect if they did not flop around like trout in a boat whenever they got bumped.

 

Koller might really be hurt, but since soccer players get carried off the pitch on stretchers more often than extras on M*A*S*H, he gets no sympathy until I see an MRI.

 

If you’ve watched any of the World Cup, you’ve seen the adidas commercial where the two Spanish speaking kids call on soccer greats for a pick up game in the dirt. There is no way that one fat kid has played much soccer. He’s as fat as a typical American kid, sitting on his butt playing video games and eating Cap’n Crunch.

 

Five minutes into the second half, Koller comes walking back into the stadium, waving at the crowd. I guess the MRI was negative.

 

“They finally got it on the right side of the field.” My wife’s comment after watching about ten minutes of the Czechs on the attack and the U.S. playing defense before the ball crossed midfield.

 

Several minutes later, the Czechs make it 3-0 nothing on a breakaway. It is now an official ass-whuppin’.

 

As regular time ends, O’Brien announces that two minutes of extra time have been added due to injuries. He adds, with a trace of disgust, “that just prolongs it for the U.S.”

 

“It,” of course, being a humiliating defeat.

 

Bill Murray was right. The U.S. looked like a bunch of mutts.

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June 11, 2006

Coors Field

After weeks of 90 degree weather and no rain, the Coors Field grass is looking a little less green than normal. I take some solace in that when I look at the grass in my yard dry up and blow away. I might see if the Joad family can farm it.

 

***

 

Clint Barmes’ theme song when he comes to the plate is Kenny Chesney’s “Back Where I Come From.” I do not know much about where he comes from, but I know where he is going if he keeps hitting .200: Colorado Springs.

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The World Cup II

Trinidad and Tobago has a player named Stern John. Rumor has it he is actually quite funny.

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The World Cup

I admit it, I stopped on the World Cup a few times this weekend while channel surfing.

I noticed that Budweiser has spent money to advertise in various venues. I have to wonder about that expenditure. I doubt soccer fans from around the world have traveled to Germany to taste an American beer. The Germans invented it, for hops’ sakes.

What’s next, Jimmy Dean Sausage signs at Oktoberfest?

Don’t get me wrong. I am an American beer drinker. I like my beer ice cold, in a frosted mug and translucent. If I can’t see though it, I ain’t drinking it.

The Germans, however, like most of the rest of the world, like it warm, thick and dark.

Budweiser does not qualify.

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NBA Draft

I hate Dook University.

 

As a loyal North Carolina alumnus, I have seen the Heels play Dook every game since 1985. I have seen Dook’s NBA busts like Danny Ferry and Cherokee Parks and the Dook guys that got hurt and never lived up to their potential like Grant Hill, Jay Williams and Bobby Hurley.

 

I have seen them all.

 

The next Dook prospect is J.J. Redick. He has been criticized for being a one-dimensional jump-shooter who can not create his own shot or play defense.

 

Those critics are wrong.

 

Redick can play in the NBA, and play well. I’ve seen him create his shot off the dribble, and he can drive and score in the paint. He won’t make any All-Defensive teams, but so what? Guys that play defense in the NBA are unusual. Redick will be usual.

 

Steve Kerr had a long, distinguished NBA career as a jump-shooter. He was not known as a defensive stopper, either. Redick will be better than Kerr.

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June 07, 2006

Carolina Hurricanes

I am an adopted Carolinian. I went to high school in Greensboro, spent seven years in Chapel Hill attending classes (and I'm THIS close to getting my degree), and bounced around Durham, Raleigh and back to Greensboro for several more years.

Lots has been written about the National Hockey League move to Raleigh and the accompanying culture clash.

Carolina is a college basketball and NASCAR mecca. Hockey was as out of place as Barney Fife in skates.

But the Canes knew their market. The first commercials featured "The King," Richard Petty, in his big cowboy hat and a Canes sweater, racing a zamboni. It was perfect.

They also use 16 time world wrestling champion and Charlotte native Ric "The Nature Boy" Flair, to pimp the team.  His signature yell "Wooooo!" is played for every Cane goal. You can see it right here.

These are my people. I'm proud.

Go Canes.

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June 05, 2006

Boulder Ends War

I am amused when local governments pass resolutions on national security.

The Boulder City Council has passed a resolution calling for the withdrawal of American troops from Iraq.

Excellent. Now how 'bout getting back to timely and efficient collection of garbage and zoning variances?

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Sean Kemp: Good for Colorado

DenverPost.com - Kemp eager to return to game

Former NBA All-Star Sean Kemp is making a comeback. He has worked out for the Nuggets and coach George Karl knows him well from their days in Seattle.

Not only might Kemp contribute to the Nuggets, he could help the entire state of Colorado. If he signs with the team and moves all of his kids and their mothers to Denver, Colorado will get another seat in the U.S. House of Representatives.

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June 02, 2006

Out at Dove Valley

Jim Saccomano, Denver Broncos' Vice President of Public Relations, told the press a story that relates to KKFN AM 950 the Fan.
Back in the day, Jim said he still had a lot to learn about his job.
One day, he was arranging interviews with the press. He had defensive lineman Alfred Williams (now an afternoon host on The Fan) in the press room when he brought coach Mike Shanahan to the room.
Jim told Mike that Al would be done in a few minutes and that the coach would have to wait.
Mike put his arm around Jim, walked him out into the hall, and said very calmly, "Jim, one thing you need to remember in this job, is that I am ALWAYS busier than Alfred Williams."
-----
Mike addressed the media today, without waiting.
They have thrown the entire playbook at the rookies, including first round pick quarterback Jay Cutler. Jay has no problem with the book and film work, but he needs lots of repetition.
Mike has had no contact with Ashley Lelie.
Mike suggested that CBS 4 Gary Miller has talked to Lelie more than the Broncos' staff recently.
Miller said he advised Lelie to sit out "because Mike will cave." That got a hearty laugh, especially from Shanahan.
Jay Cutler says there is lots to learn, but he is slowly getting it together.
He rooms with fellow rookie Tony Scheffler and they have started looking for houses. But not together.
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